Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.080673 0.086561 0.092701 0.099587 0.107105 0.115075 0.124176
2025-11-23 0.068927 0.077472 0.086896 0.098102 0.111116 0.125814 0.143759
2025-11-30 0.062185 0.072490 0.084374 0.099188 0.117290 0.138853 0.166735
2025-12-07 0.055322 0.066337 0.079494 0.096518 0.118189 0.145157 0.181736
2025-12-14 0.049275 0.060444 0.074166 0.092474 0.116584 0.147707 0.191683
2025-12-21 0.045414 0.056851 0.071261 0.091031 0.117889 0.153759 0.206430
2025-12-28 0.043256 0.055198 0.070612 0.092330 0.122736 0.164723 0.228779
2026-01-04 0.041200 0.053484 0.069684 0.093066 0.126718 0.174641 0.250413
2026-01-11 0.038880 0.051228 0.067824 0.092291 0.128376 0.181201 0.267475
2026-01-18 0.036974 0.049400 0.066398 0.091966 0.130564 0.188587 0.286385
2026-01-25 0.034868 0.047156 0.064229 0.090365 0.130647 0.192658 0.300202
2026-02-01 0.032707 0.044709 0.061612 0.087899 0.129168 0.194073 0.309587
2026-02-08 0.030913 0.042734 0.059624 0.086331 0.129094 0.197910 0.323879
2026-02-15 0.029271 0.040903 0.057754 0.084832 0.129030 0.201777 0.338698
2026-02-22 0.028376 0.040122 0.057398 0.085656 0.132772 0.212303 0.366775
2026-03-01 0.026777 0.038202 0.055203 0.083392 0.131174 0.213430 0.377198
2026-03-08 0.025025 0.035970 0.052415 0.079995 0.127398 0.210369 0.379086
2026-03-15 0.023911 0.034666 0.051009 0.078782 0.127294 0.213884 0.394413
2026-03-22 0.023394 0.034261 0.050990 0.079869 0.131291 0.225238 0.427097
2026-03-29 0.022807 0.033715 0.050713 0.080486 0.134465 0.235286 0.458241
2026-04-05 0.021992 0.032769 0.049739 0.079837 0.135257 0.240768 0.480046
2026-04-12 0.021304 0.031996 0.049009 0.079564 0.136716 0.247663 0.505857
2026-04-19 0.020447 0.030916 0.047719 0.078221 0.136042 0.250176 0.521785